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Smith's Research & Gradings Articles

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Smith's Research & Gradings
January 22, 2024

Smith's 2024 U.S. Economic Outlook

The 2024 Smith's outlook for the U.S. economy calls for ongoing expansion, but at a slower pace and with considerable potential downside risk. Real GDP growth is expected at 1.8%, inflation at a little over 2.0%, and unemployment at around 4.0%. Barring any unexpected developments, the Fed should begin introducing interest rates cuts in June or July, with a year-end target of around 4.0%-4.25%. But the risks remain very present: intramural fighting over government spending, the Fed overshooting its inflation target, refinancing indigestion in the commercial property sector, and a plethora of external factors (which could be inflationary). The 2024 November elections are likely to be nasty, but not enough to derail the economy. All factors considered; our economic outlook is cautiously optimistic.

Smith's Research & Gradings
October 23, 2023

U.S. Economy — The Great Uncertainty

Forecasting the U.S. economy has become much more challenge, increasingly akin to reading tea leaves than analying the results of finely tuned algorithmic models.

Smith's Research & Gradings
May 22, 2023

What Can Artificial Intelligence Do for You?

Can Artificial intelligence deliver for municipal bond analysts? The answer is a resounding yes!

Smith's Research & Gradings
May 22, 2023

Smith's Joins President Biden's National Infrastructure Advisory Council

Terence M. Smith, CEO, Smith's Research & Gradings has agreed to join President Biden's National Infrastructure Advisory Council (NAIC).

Smith's Research & Gradings
May 19, 2023

Smith's Chief Economist Expects Fed to Hike Rates

Smith's Research & Gradings believes the Fed is likely to raise rates by 25 bps at its June meeting.

Smith's Research & Gradings
February 14, 2023

Hawkins Reviews Financial Data Transparency Act

Hawkins Delafield & Wood, New York City's legendary municipal law firm, published a "Hawkins Advisory" that reviews the Financial Data Transparency Act of 2022 (FDTA), which was signed into law on December 23, 2022; developments in enforcement actions regarding limited offerings; and the status of certain pending rulemaking by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board (MSRB).

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