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Smith's Research & Gradings
Volume: 
XXIX
Issue: 
3
Author: 
February 16, 2021

Smith's Research & Gradings

American Dreamers

American Dreamers

American Dream bondholders went on real roller coaster ride that rivals the mall's Nickelodeon Universe Theme park.
It started when the COVID-19 crisis shut down the American Dream mall from last March through August and prices plunged into the 80s the bonds.

Two weeks ago, the MSRB EMMA site featured a "failure to file notice".  Several analysts were quick to say, "It doesn't surprise me" and "I don't think we will hear good news."  Several waxed philosophical with lengthy descriptions of how COVID-19 has changed retail shopping
Yet the next day, American Dream filed an update (see below) that surprised almost everyone.  The American Dream mall showed positive traction starting in September and kept climbing through December.  The Grinch did not steal Christmas from American Dream.

Then, on February 9, the MSRB's EMMA website posted a trade with a customer selling the American Dream bonds at 106.657, or a 5.8% yield, and a customer buying a couple minutes later at 106.946, or a 5.75% yield.

"It was a $10 mln. block of bonds that traded around 3:30 (EST) in the afternoon," a source said. "The trade changed the evaluations and produce a 23% gain for American Dreamers."

Haters went wild after the news reported. Many suggested the trade was done between funds with a single family because of the timing. Others suggested it was a signal the municipal high yield bond market had hit a top.

Take notice

Stay on top of the latest global news that can impact your investment strategy.

Outlook Negative

California High Speed Train May Jump the Tracks

Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison and Tesla founder Elon Musk both agree when it comes to California's $77 billion high-speed rail project—the project is going to jump the tracks.

Persistent Drought Conditions in the West Require New Water Policies and Compacts

Over six days during the middle of June 2021, a dome of hot air languished over the western United States, causing temperatures to rise to unprecedented levels. From June 15-20, all-time maximum temperature records were set at locations in seven different states

Should State and Local Bailout Come With Strings?

One of the great lessons from the Puerto Rico bankruptcy was never to draw to an inside straight — in other words, state and local government politicians need to play the hand that is dealt.

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