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Smith's Research & Gradings
Volume: 
XXVIII
Issue: 
13
Author: 
August 3, 2020

Smith's Research & Gradings

Should State and Local Bailout Come With Strings?

One of the great lessons from the Puerto Rico bankruptcy was never to draw to an inside straight — in other words, state and local government politicians need to play the hand that is dealt.

The Governor of Puerto Rico was called to testify before the Senate Committee, whose chairperson asked "Who is in charge?" All the Governor needed to say was "You".

Instead, The Governor insisted the $120 bln. in federal funds be provided to him without any strings. Any conditions to the aid would violate Puerto Rico's sovereignty. He had $70 bln. in par value of defaulted bonds to prove it. He rang-up $30 bln. from Hurricane Maria. He had 15 bln. in unfunded pensions. Puerto Rico received $2 bln. in grant money and $3 bln. in federal loans for specific pre-approved projects.

Clearly, the temptation to "not waste an emergency" can result in politicians running up spending just when cutting costs and expenses are required.
Analysts and investors need to be aware of the political event risks when considering a municipal bond.

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Treasury Secretary to Close COVID-19 Lending Facilities

On Thursday, November 19, Treasury Secretary Mnuchin sent a letter to Fed Chair Powell indicating that he would be allowing most of the Fed's 13(3) emergency lending facilities to expire at year-end, and requesting that the Fed "return unused funds to the Treasury" in order for Congress to "re-appropriate $455 billion, consisting of $429 billion in excess Treasury funds for the Federal Reserve facilities and $26 billion in unused Treasury direct loan funds."

California Confronts the Gap

The state has a long history of closing budget gaps. This time should be no different. The reasons for the gaps vary over time. This time is different due to the delay in tax collections in the state to November of 2023 due to the climate change induced events that had taken place. What is the same factor this time is that capital gains declined appreciably in 2022 into 2023 due to the downturn in the markets. The turnaround for the markets did not take place until late 2023.

FOMB Commits to No Cuts to Public Pensions

A letter sent by the Financial Oversight and Management Board for Puerto Rico to the Governor and the Legislature, commits to no cuts to public pensions.

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