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Scott B. MacDonald, Ph.D.

Smith's Research & Gradings

Smith's Chief Economist Expects Fed to Hike Rates

Smith's Chief Economist Expects Fed to Hike Rates

We believe the Fed is likely to raise rates by 25 bps at its June meeting. Inflation remains well above the central bank's target (2%), real GDP growth is for Q2 is tracking close to 3.0%, unemployment remains low, and corporate earnings and services PMI remains comfortably above what are considered recessionary levels. The equity market has been wrong on the Fed pause through most 2023 and is likely to be wrong in June.  — Scott B. MacDonald, Ph.D.

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Stay on top of the latest global news that can impact your investment strategy.

Biden Infrastructure Plan Approved

While we were sleeping late Thursday night, the U.S. House of Representatives passed the Infrastructure Investment & Jobs Act (IIJA) exactly as the U.S. Senate did in August. Now, it is going to the President for signature.

David Hitchcock Retires

David Hitchcock participated in S&P Global Ratings' Webinar on State Ratings and quietly retired at the end of the day. It was a silent send-off for a great analyst. Your correspondent checked in with him the very next day.

La Niña and Arctic Oscillation Bring Winter Storms

Extreme winter weather hit 44 states and caused power outages for millions of Americans. Texas reported 10 deaths due to the cold temperatures. Smith's ESGradings has conducted decades of research on climate change. This year's events are due, in part, to La Nina.

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