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Smith's Chief Economist Expects Fed to Hike Rates

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Smith's Chief Economist Expects Fed to Hike Rates

We believe the Fed is likely to raise rates by 25 bps at its June meeting. Inflation remains well above the central bank's target (2%), real GDP growth is for Q2 is tracking close to 3.0%, unemployment remains low, and corporate earnings and services PMI remains comfortably above what are considered recessionary levels. The equity market has been wrong on the Fed pause through most 2023 and is likely to be wrong in June. — Scott B. MacDonald, Ph.D.

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Will Infrastructure Promises Meet Expectations

Targeted Infrastructure programs will be one of the featured revitalization tools used for stimulating growth in the US economy post the COVID-19 pandemic. Many observers have anticipated massive large-scale infrastructure programs, but that may not be viable at this time, given the financial capabilities of many state and local governments.

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Hawkins Reviews Financial Data Transparency Act

Hawkins Delafield & Wood, New York City's legendary municipal law firm, published a "Hawkins Advisory" that reviews the Financial Data Transparency Act of 2022 (FDTA), which was signed into law on December 23, 2022; developments in enforcement actions regarding limited offerings; and the status of certain pending rulemaking by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board (MSRB).

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Disastrous Puerto Rico Elections

Puerto Rico's elections were a mess. On Sunday, August 9, Puerto Rico was forced to partially suspend voting for primaries marred by a lack of ballots, as officials called on the president of the Commonwealth's elections commissioner Juan Ernesto Davila to resign. The primaries for voting centers that had not received ballots by early Sunday afternoon were expected to be rescheduled, while voting would continue elsewhere, the commission said.

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