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Smith's Research & Gradings
Volume: 
XXIX
Issue: 
6
Author: 
March 31, 2021

Smith's Research & Gradings

Here Comes the Sun

Here Comes the Sun

Smith's is issuing an Event Risk for Solar Flares (+1) The Solar Cycle 25 reached its lowest level in 2020 and it has started climbing higher in 2021. Forecasts predict the Solar 25 Cycle will peak in 2025.

Research now underway predicts the Sun's activity rises and falls in an 11-year cycle. The forecast for the next solar cycle forecasts it will be the weakest of the last 200 years. The maximum of this next cycle — measured in terms of sunspot number, a standard measure of solar activity level — could be 30 to 50% lower than the most recent one. The results show that the next cycle will start in 2020 and reach its maximum in 2025.

On August 31, 2012 a long filament of solar material that had been hovering in the sun's atmosphere, the corona, erupted out into space. This coronal mass ejection — an immense cloud of magnetized particles — traveled at over 900 miles per second. The ability to forecast these kinds of events on the Sun is increasingly important as NASA prepares to send humans to the Moon under the Artemis program.

Sunspots are regions on the Sun with magnetic fields thousands of times stronger than the Earth's. Fewer of them at the point of maximum solar activity means fewer dangerous blasts of radiation.

What prompts Smith's Event Risk Alert is the combination of increasing solar activity, the weakness of America's electric transmission system (aka the grid) and the spread of residential/commercial electronics (phones/computers,etc).  

The obvious solution is to ground the electric towers, sub-stations, and power transformers. However, copper wire is the preferred method of grounding electric grids, which is often stolen from these facilities and sold as a commodity.

Take notice

Stay on top of the latest global news that can impact your investment strategy.

Pandemic Event Risk: National Emergency Extended

The National Emergency has been extended according to a letter from President Joe Biden to The Congress of the United States.

FOMB Commits to No Cuts to Public Pensions

A letter sent by the Financial Oversight and Management Board for Puerto Rico to the Governor and the Legislature, commits to no cuts to public pensions.

Treasury Secretary to Close COVID-19 Lending Facilities

On Thursday, November 19, Treasury Secretary Mnuchin sent a letter to Fed Chair Powell indicating that he would be allowing most of the Fed's 13(3) emergency lending facilities to expire at year-end, and requesting that the Fed "return unused funds to the Treasury" in order for Congress to "re-appropriate $455 billion, consisting of $429 billion in excess Treasury funds for the Federal Reserve facilities and $26 billion in unused Treasury direct loan funds."

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